China conducts a third rotation of its coast-guard patrol group east of Taiwan (a vessel swap similar to the June-July handover) within 30 days.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A new China Coast Guard vessel replacing the current one on station east of Taiwan before August 5; a gap of more than 45 days with no replacement would suggest this is not becoming a fixed rotation after all.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 5 Aug 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
China rotates coast-guard patrol group east of Taiwan again; Taipei calls repetition still unlawful
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-06-01 — recorded 6 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-06-01.html