China

What? Zimbabwe's Anti-Corruption Commission and tax authority intercepted two of six trucks carrying lithium ore at the Forbes Border Post on May 20, arresting Kunshan Mineral Consultancy director Tsitsi Manyumwa; a foreign national and a clearing agent named in the case remain at large. The syndicate allegedly used a cloned, expired export permit originally issued to other firms to disguise 204 tonnes of unbeneficiated lithium ore as approved petalite concentrate bound for China; roughly 34 tonnes had already crossed before the remaining trucks were stopped. Manyumwa was remanded on bail to July 23; the seized ore was valued at $100,000.

What? China test-launched a long-range ballistic missile from a nuclear-powered submarine Monday, carrying a dummy warhead that splashed down inside the South Pacific Nuclear-Free Zone; Beijing called it routine annual training not directed at any country — its first Pacific missile test in roughly two years. New Zealand's foreign minister said China notified Wellington only hours ahead; Australia's foreign minister called it destabilizing; Japan's defense ministry raised concern the test risked overflying Japanese territory and asked Beijing to reconsider such tests. The launch coincided with a new Australia-Fiji defense treaty signing.

What? China's coast guard confirmed a routine handover Saturday — the cutter Xiushan replacing Daishan, which had patrolled east of Taiwan since early June — in what analysts read as confirmation the patrol is now a standing rotation rather than a one-off. Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council issued a fresh condemnation Sunday: "China has no sovereignty, jurisdiction or law enforcement authority in waters east of Taiwan... Repeating an illegal act does not make it lawful." Taiwan's coast guard tracked two Chinese vessels about 54 nautical miles east of Hualien, outside restricted waters, and shadowed them with two of its own ships.

What? Taiwan's National Security Council Secretary-General Joseph Wu said July 4 that China had massed a record of more than 110 military and coast guard vessels along the first island chain, while Taiwan's coast guard dispatched its cutter Hualien to track two Chinese coast guard ships roughly 100 km east of Hualien harbor. Beijing separately rotated the cutter Xiushan in to replace Daishan on its east-of-Taiwan patrol — the same rotation pattern it began in early June — which regional governments and analysts said confirms the deployment is now a standing fixture rather than a one-time show of force.

What? China's coast guard rotated its patrol vessel (CCGS Xiushan replacing CCGS Daishan) in waters roughly 54 nautical miles east of Hualien — home to a major Taiwanese air base — continuing a patrol pattern begun in June that Beijing calls routine law enforcement in waters it claims. Taiwan's Coast Guard is shadowing both vessels and has told commercial and fishing vessels to disregard Chinese coast guard orders in the area.

What? China Coast Guard vessels have patrolled almost continuously east of Taiwan since June 1 under a new "nearshore governance" model, with PLA aircraft sorties near Taiwan up sharply year-on-year (~3,760 vs. ~3,060) alongside a comparable rise in naval activity, according to think-tank tracking cited this week. Analysts assess Beijing is normalizing a civilian/paramilitary "gray-zone fleet" presence rather than preparing solely for invasion — a posture aimed at eroding Taiwanese control below the threshold of armed conflict.

What? A Lima court overturned a January ruling and ordered Peru's transport regulator, Ositrán, to resume oversight of the COSCO-operated Chancay megaport near Lima, handing Washington a rare win in its push against Chinese port control across Latin America. Beijing has separately warned Panama of economic and political costs over a similar port dispute there.

What? Japan's defense establishment has tracked an expanding pattern of Russian and Chinese naval activity in waters around Japan this week, including a large multi-fleet Russian exercise spanning the Northern Hemisphere and northward-transiting Chinese warships, as the two navies deepen joint patrols challenging the first island chain.

What? Taipei instructed Taiwanese commercial vessels to ignore boarding or inspection requests from China's Coast Guard off the island's east coast, and said its own Coast Guard would intervene if needed — a firmer response after Beijing deployed CG ships for a "special maritime traffic law-enforcement operation."